Predicting Individual Stat Leaders For '21 Season: Pitchers
- Adam Dawson
- Mar 11, 2021
- 4 min read

The following are my predictions for individual pitching leaders for the upcoming season. Stats included are:
W, ERA, SO, WHIP, SV
Wins: Gerrit Cole- Yankees

Gerrit Cole is the likely favorite to lead the league in wins this upcoming season. One of the best pitchers in the game, Cole will also rack up strikeouts at a very high rate. With the Yankees offense backing him up every fifth day he takes the mound he is in a great spot to get a lot of run support.
My Prediction: 17 Wins
Others to Consider:
Trevor Bauer (LAD): My Prediction- 16 Wins
Shane Bieber (CLE): My Prediction- 16 Wins
Jacob deGrom (NYM): My Prediction- 15 Wins
Clayton Kershaw (LAD): My Prediction- 15 Wins
Walker Buehler (LAD): My Prediction- 14 Wins
Yu Darvish (SD): My Prediction- 14 Wins
Lucas Giolito (CWS): My Prediction- 14 Wins
Max Scherzer (WSH): My Prediction- 13 Wins
Luis Castillo (CIN): My Prediction- 13 Wins
Blake Snell (SD): My Prediction- 13 Wins
Kenta Maeda (MIN): My Prediction- 13 Wins
Aaron Nola (PHI): My Prediction- 13 Wins
Jose Berrios (MIN): My Prediction- 13 Wins
Lance Lynn (CWS): My Prediction- 12 Wins
Stephen Strasburg (WSH): My Prediction- 12 Wins
Max Fried (ATL): My Prediction-12 Wins
Dinelson Lamet (SD): My Prediction- 12 Wins
Jack Flaherty (STL): My Prediction- 11 Wins
Zack Greinke (HOU) : My Prediction- 11 Wins
Zack Wheeler (PHI): My Prediction- 11 Wins
ERA: Jacob deGrom- Mets

The best pitcher in today's game, deGrom seems to put up ridiculous ERA numbers season after season. Never having an ERA worse than 3.53 in 2017, deGrom has had an ERA less than three in five of his seven seasons. Putting up an amazing 1.70 and 2.43 ERA respectively in 2018 and 2019, I expect deGrom to be as "deGrominant" as ever this upcoming season.
My Prediction: 2.53 ERA
Others to Consider:
Gerrit Cole (NYY): My Prediction- 2.92 ERA
Shane Bieber (CLE): My Prediction- 3.07 ERA
Walker Buehler (LAD): My Prediction- 3.13 ERA
Trevor Bauer (LAD): My Prediction- 3.24 ERA
Aaron Nola (PHI): My Prediction- 3.31 ERA
Clayton Kershaw (LAD): My Prediction- 3.32 ERA
Max Scherzer (WSH): My Prediction- 3.35 ERA
Luis Castillo (CIN): My Prediction- 3.38 ERA
Zac Gallen (ARZ): My Prediction- 3.39 ERA
Lucas Giolito (CWS): My Prediction- 3.41 ERA
Jack Flaherty (STL): My Prediction- 3.42 ERA
Blake Snell (SD): My Prediction- 3.46 ERA
Zack Greinke (HOU): My Prediction- 3.47 ERA
Stephen Strasburg (WSH): My Prediction- 3.48 ERA
Kyle Hendricks (CHC): My Prediction- 3.51 ERA
Brandon Woodruff (MIL): My Prediction- 3.53 ERA
Lance Lynn (CWS): My Prediction- 3.54 ERA
Yu Darvish (SD): My Prediction- 3.56 ERA
Zack Wheeler (PHI): My Prediction- 3.57 ERA
Dinelson Lamet (SD): My Prediciton- 3.58 ERA
Sonny Gray (CIN): My Prediction- 3.63 ERA
Jose Berrios (MIN): My Prediction- 3.68 ERA
Strikeouts: Max Scherzer- Nationals

One of the best pitchers over the past decade, Mad Max is a good bet to lead the league in strikeouts. This was a tough decision for me as I also considered deGrom and Cole. One of my favorite pitchers, Scherzer always puts up fantastic strikeout numbers, as he led the league in strikeouts in both 2016 and 2018. Scherzer is 36 which is a bit older, but I still expect him to be as great as ever.
My Prediction: 278 Strikeouts
Others to Consider:
Jacob deGrom (NYM): My Prediction- 274 Strikeouts
Gerrit Cole (WSH): My Prediction- 264 Strikeouts
Shane Bieber (CLE): My Prediction- 261 Strikeouts
Trevor Bauer (LAD): My Prediction- 253 Strikeouts
Luis Castillo (CIN): My Prediction- 232 Strikeouts
Stephen Strasburg (WSH): My Prediction- 231 Strikeouts
Aaron Nola (PHI): My Prediction- 226 Strikeouts
Yu Darvish (SD): My Prediction- 223 Strikeouts
Lucas Giolito (CWS): My Prediction- 218 Strikeouts
Walker Buehler (LAD): My Prediction- 216 Strikeouts
Jack Flaherty (STL): My Prediction- 212 Strikeouts
Yu Darvish (SD): My Prediction- 209 Strikeouts
Tyler Glasnow (TB): My Prediction- 203 Strikeouts
WHIP: Jacob deGrom- Mets

Walks plus Hits per Innings Pitched, or WHIP tells how many hits and walks a pitcher gives up. Jacob deGrom is my prediction to lead the league in this category. Over the past three seasons, deGrom has had a WHIP of less than 1, allowing an average of six hits and around two walks per start over the past few seasons which is outstanding!
Rarely will I predict a player to lead in two different statistical categories, but deGrom is so elite it was hard for me to bet against him!
My Prediction: 0.97 WHIP
Others to Consider:
Gerrit Cole (NYY): My Prediction- 1.03 WHIP
Shane Bieber (CLE): My Prediction- 1.05 WHIP
Clayton Kershaw (LAD): My Prediction- 1.08 WHIP
Walker Buehler (LAD): My Prediction- 1.10 WHIP
Max Scherzer (WSH): My Prediction- 1.11 WHIP
Trevor Bauer (LAD): My Prediction- 1.12 WHIP
Lucas Giolito (CWS): My Prediciton- 1.13 WHIP
Yu Darvish (SD): My Prediction- 1.14 WHIP
Zack Greinke (HOU): My Prediction- 1.15 WHIP
Chris Paddack (SD): My Prediction- 1.17 WHIP
Saves: Aroldis Chapman- Yankees

Overall lineup strength and being able to put up runs at a consistent rate is the key relievers need for being able to record saves. Chapman will get a lot of chances to save games this upcoming season, as the Yankees figure to put up a lot of runs. With his 100 MPH fastball and devastating splitter Chapman will be feared by opposing hitters who have to face him in the 9th inning. Chapman will serve a two game suspension to begin the season, but I suspect he will still lead the league in saves.
My Prediction: 38 Saves
Others to Consider:
Josh Hader (MIL): My Prediction- 35 Saves
Kenley Jansen (LAD): My Prediction- 32 Saves
Liam Hendriks (CWS): My Prediction- 31 Saves
Edwin Diaz (NYM): My Prediction- 30 Saves
Ryan Pressly (HOU): My Prediction- 29 Saves
James Karinchak (CLE): My Prediction- 28 Saves
Kirby Yates (TOR): My Prediction- 26 Saves
Raisel Iglesias (LAA): My Prediction- 26 Saves
Will Smith (ATL): My Prediction- 25 Saves
Rafael Montero (SEA): My Prediction- 23 Saves
Matt Barnes (BOS): My Prediction- 22 Saves
Richard Rodriguez (PIT): My Prediction- 21 Saves
Final Thoughts:
I really enjoyed making my pitching predictions for the upcoming season. It will be interesting to see if the pitchers listed above will perform better than my expectations or if some will regress.
See you at the ballpark!!!
Adam
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